Incident monitor · Methods, sources and corrections

How the map
decides what
to show.

Our live incident map and data API are built automatically from hundreds of official and news sources in many languages. This page explains where the reports come from, how we grade and check them, what we leave out, which sources we use and under what terms, and how to tell us when we've got something wrong.

Step by step

From source to map

Collect

Every few minutes the monitor reads official alert feeds, published news feeds and public data services: about 530 feeds covering around 200 countries and territories, in about 40 languages. It only uses material that is openly published. Nothing is scraped from behind a login.

Filter

Reports are matched to topics (outbreaks, disasters, conflict and unrest, attacks on health care, hunger and famine) using keywords in several languages. Sport, entertainment, opinion and explainer pages are dropped, as are look-alike phrases such as "a flood of complaints" or "Typhoon fighter jets".

Translate and summarise

Reports not in English are translated by an AI model running on our own computer; nothing is sent to a third-party service. Each report then gets a one-line summary in our own words, also drafted by AI and checked for invented numbers. We link to the original instead of copying it.

Place

Each report is placed at the most specific administrative area we can identify, usually the country or the state or province. We never pin the exact location of an attack, a clinic or a person. Earthquakes, storms and satellite-mapped events use the coordinates their agency publishes.

Group

Reports about the same event are grouped into one incident, so a story repeated by many outlets appears once with every source linked. Copies of the same wire story, and near-identical headlines, count as one source.

Grade and check

Each incident gets a certainty grade (below). Outlets whose reports are rarely backed up by anyone else are flagged and stop counting. A clinician reviews the highest-priority incidents on a private screen and can annotate or remove them, but most reports are not checked by hand.

Certainty

Confirmed, probable, possible, rumour

We grade every incident on the scale used by the World Health Organization's Surveillance System for Attacks on Health Care:

ConfirmedAn official source has reported it: a health ministry, WHO, a UN or Red Cross agency, a national disaster or seismology agency, or another public body.
ProbableTwo or more independent news outlets have reported it. Copies of the same agency story (AFP, Reuters and so on) count once. Storms, floods and earthquakes with no official report need three outlets.
PossibleOnly one outlet so far. Possible reports are never shown on the public map or in the API. We follow them privately until someone else confirms them.
RumourSocial-media posts, messaging channels and anonymous or partisan accounts. These are never published, whatever they say. They can prompt us to look for a report from an outlet or agency, and that report is what gets graded.

The grade says how sure we are that the event happened. It does not say that every detail is right. Early reports of disasters and attacks are often wrong about numbers and places, and figures change as more is known. When a later report gives a higher figure for an incident we have already shown, the incident is updated and marked as such.

Some further rules: only an official source or an independent outlet can move an incident to Confirmed or Probable; the AI model can never do that on its own. Incidents drop off the map after seven days unless new reports keep arriving, and nothing is kept longer than 60 days. Each month we count how many WHO Disease Outbreak News items we had a report on first, and how many single-outlet reports were later backed up, and we publish that scorecard here when there is a full month of data.

Inclusion rules

What counts, and what doesn't

Included: current events that affect people's health or safety and are reported by a named source: disease outbreaks and unexplained illness; earthquakes, tsunamis, storms, floods, landslides, volcanoes, wildfires and drought; riots, unrest and armed conflict; famine and hunger; and attacks on health care, meaning violence against, or obstruction of, health workers, patients, facilities, ambulances and supplies. For attacks on health care we use the definitions in the WHO Surveillance System and the Safeguarding Health in Conflict Coalition methodology as our reference, and we point to their datasets rather than compete with them.

Not included: films, series, books, games, exercises and simulations; sport and entertainment; opinion, analysis and explainer pieces; anniversaries and historical pieces; figures of speech ("a tsunami of complaints"); reports that give no place; reports from state-run media about countries other than their own; anything from social media, messaging channels or anonymous accounts; and any report we cannot link to.

Coverage is uneven. Our feeds are densest in the countries where we work or plan to work (DR Congo, Uganda, Nigeria, Sudan, Chad, Ukraine and their neighbours) and thinnest where little is published online. A gap on the map means we found nothing reportable, not that nothing happened.

Reading the map

What the labels mean

Confirmed · official sourceAn official agency reported the incident. The link goes to that agency.
ProbableAt least two independent outlets reported it. Every outlet is linked.
Our summaryThe one-line description was written in our own words by an AI model from the original headline, and may differ from how the publisher put it. Open the link to read the original.
Auto-translated (AI) from …The original was in another language and was translated by machine. Translations are usually right but not always; the original is linked.
Health emergency (AI-flagged)No keyword matched, but the AI model judged the report to be about a current health emergency. These are shown for a human to judge and never trigger alerts.

Bubbles are placed at the centre of the country, state or province, not at the event. The number is how many reports the incident has. Red, orange and green rings follow the official agency's own severity rating where there is one.

Limits

What it can't do

Information only. This service is automated and partly machine-translated. It is not a substitute for advice from the Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office, the World Health Organization or local authorities, and it must not be used for safety-of-life decisions. We give no guarantee that it is complete, accurate or up to date. It is not medical, security or travel advice, and it is not a duty-of-care or emergency service.

The monitor will sometimes misread a story, put it in the wrong place or miss it altogether. In our own tests the translation model made a meaning-changing error in roughly one headline in fifty to a hundred, which is why every translated line is labelled and linked to its original. No single system catches every event: in one published evaluation of seven epidemic-intelligence systems, each caught between 38% and 72% of the influenza events studied.

Always check the original source and official advice before acting on anything you see here.

Do no harm

Data responsibility

We follow the OCHA Data Responsibility Guidelines and the Signal Code as far as they apply to a small automated service:

  • No personal data on the map. We publish no names or details of victims, patients, health workers or witnesses, and our summaries are written to leave them out.
  • No exact locations of people or facilities. Incidents are shown at country or province level. In active conflict we will not show a finer location even when a source gives one.
  • Group risk counts too. Where a report identifies a clinic, camp or community by the group it serves, we keep the summary general.
  • A harm check before each new data layer. Before we add a new source or type of incident we ask who could be put at risk by its publication and whether to delay, blur or withhold it.
  • Nothing about you. We don't collect information about the people who use the map. See our privacy notice.
Corrections and takedowns

Tell us if we're wrong

If a report on the map is wrong, misleading, in the wrong place, or puts someone at risk, email contact@aeiaxioma.uk with the link or a description. We aim to look at every request within two working days, and to remove anything that could put people in danger straight away. Corrected incidents are marked as corrected rather than silently changed. Publishers who would rather we didn't link to their reports, and anyone who believes a summary misrepresents them, can ask the same way.

Our summaries are licensed under CC BY 4.0: credit "Axiom Global Medicine incident monitor" with a link to axiomglobalmedicine.uk. Each report links to its original publisher, whose content stays theirs. Developers can use the same data through our incident data API.

Sources and licences

Where the reports come from

Official sources can confirm an incident on their own. News outlets can make it probable when two or more agree. Rumour sources can never make it public. The terms below are our reading of each publisher's published licence or terms of use as at 31 October 2026; tell us if we have one wrong.

SourceRoleLicence or termsHow we use it
WHO Disease Outbreak News; WHO news; WHO AfricaOfficialWHO terms of use: free to read and link; written permission needed for commercial reuseWe show our own summary and link to WHO. Outbreak case figures are quoted with attribution.
ECDC epidemiological updates and threat reportsOfficialCC BY 4.0 (credit ECDC)Titles shown as published, with a link.
UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA)OfficialOpen Government Licence v3.0Titles shown as published, with a link.
FCDO foreign travel adviceOfficialOpen Government Licence v3.0 (travel advice is summarised and linked, not reproduced)Travel advice changes for watchlist countries, with a link.
US CDC travel health noticesOfficialUS government work, public domain. CDC does not endorse this site.Titles shown as published, with a link.
USGS earthquakes (magnitude 5.5 and above)OfficialUS government work, public domainShown with the published coordinates and magnitude.
GDACS (Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System, UN and EU)OfficialEU reuse policy, with credit. GDACS alerts are "purely indicative".Earthquakes, cyclones, floods, volcanoes and droughts rated green, orange or red.
NASA EONET (Earth Observatory Natural Event Tracker)OfficialUS government work, public domainWildfires, volcanoes, storms and similar.
Pacific and National Tsunami Warning Centers (NOAA)OfficialUS government work, public domainTsunami messages.
IFRC GO (Red Cross emergencies and appeals)OfficialNo reuse licence published; used by permission of the open API, summarised and linkedRed Cross emergency and appeal records.
Copernicus Emergency Management ServiceOfficialFree and open; credit "© European Union"Rapid-mapping activations for disasters.
GDELT news searchIndexFree with citation; the articles it points to belong to their publishersUsed to find outlets covering an event. Our summary links to each article.
Published news feeds (about 500 outlets, 40 languages)NewsPublishers' copyright. Facts are not copyright; wording is.We publish our own one-line summary with a link, never the publisher's text. State-run or state-aligned outlets are listed separately: their reports about other countries are not shown, and they never count as confirmation.
Google News searchesNewsAs aboveUsed to spot events; each result is treated like any other outlet.
Telegram and WhatsApp public channelsRumourContent belongs to the channelsNever shown on the public map or API. Used privately to prompt a search for a reportable source. Channels linked to proscribed groups are excluded.
ACLED (Armed Conflict Location & Event Data)OfficialACLED terms: no redistribution without a licenceNot currently in use (access pending). If granted, used internally only and never shown publicly.
Base mapMapOpenFreeMap and OpenMapTiles, data © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL); country outlines from Natural Earth (public domain)Background map only.
Translation and summariesSoftwareGemma 3 (Google, Gemma terms of use) and Argos Translate (open source), both run on our own hardwareNo report text is sent to a cloud AI service.

Method and source list last updated 31 October 2026. The full outlet list, with each feed's country and language, is available on request.